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Virion

An epidemic modeler to track and predict the H5N1 Avian Influenza outbreak using compartmental models and generative agents.

For our primary projections, we use the SEIR compartmental model, a suitable mathematical model of infectious disease spread which groups populations into compartments of "susceptible," "exposed," "infected," or "recovered."

We also conduct simulations at the local level using a novel agent-based technique as described in the paper Epidemic Modeling with Generative Agents (arXiv:2307.04986).

Free and open source available on GitHub under the BSD license.

Simulation controls

Days passed: 0

Simulation speed (days per second):

Days to simulate:
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Compartmental parameters

Transmission rate (avian): 0.2

Incubation (avian): 0.2

Recovery rate (avian): 0.1

Recovery rate (human): 0.2

Incubation (human): 0.2

Recovery rate (human): 0.1

Human infection coefficient: 0.5